Sunday, January 15, 2012

Derby della Madonnina

The Derby della Madonnina.. Both teams are in great shape and having big runs.

Milan are unbeaten 12 games and have won 10 of them and scored 32 goals.

Inter have won their last 5 Serie A games after losing to Udinese in Giuseppe Meazza.

Milan , the defending champions are the biggest favourite of the title this season and currently leaders (have same points with Juventus).

Actually Milan are above Serie A levels , if Milan didn't have injury cricis at the beginning of the season they would have leaded the table by 4-5 points.

There are some good and bad news for the Rossoneri.

Gattuso and Aquilani are injured and both will miss the Derby. Seedorf and Silva are doubtful but both players expecting to be ready against Inter. Especially Silva is very important for Milan who is the one of the best defenders of the Europe. Nesta and Abate are back from injuries and will play against Inter. Zambrotta or Antonini (one of them) should start as a LB. Zambrotta has more experience and better player than Antonini , probably Allegri will start with him.

Allegri has a lot of options even without Flamini , Gattuso and Aquilani on the midfield zone. He might start with Van Bommel - Nocerino - Boateng and Robinho - Zlatan - Pato trio up-front. But most likely Ambrosini will start with Nocerino and Van Bommel and Boateng will get trequartista role behind Zlatan and Robinho.

Some good news , Antonio Cassano who had suffered a minor heart problem and got operation 5 months ago , has started to train with his team-mates. It's very positive for Milan family and players.

Also Pato rejected PSG's offer and stayed in Milan, if he starts he will be eager to change the Derby's score. Also he had Berlusconi's support behind him on his decision.

Milan (probable) 4-3-1-2: Abbiati; Abate, Nesta, Thiago Silva, Zambrotta; Nocerino, Van Bommel, Seedorf (Ambrosini) ; Boateng; Ibrahimovic, Robinho

Since Ranieri took the control Inter changed and started to get positive results.

Sneijder is back from injury but he might start on the bench.

Ranieri has switched to 4-4-2 from 4-3-1-2 and his new system proved well with five consecutive wins.

Inter will be trying to join the Scudetto race and keep their winning streak.

Inter showed a decent performance against Parma and had a great victory with scoring five goals. Diego Milito's performance was brilliant.

Ranieri didn't call Stankovic to Inter's squad.

But Inter have won against which teams and had 5 games winning streak?

Let's take a look.

Fiorentina , which team were struggling with Mijahlovic.

Lecce - Rock bottom and worst team of the Serie A.

Cesena - one of the biggest relegation candidates.

Genoa - which team sacked their manager and were struggling.

and Parma , which team will fight in relegation zone and sacked their manager after Inter game.

What Inter did against the ''big ones''?

Lost at home against Juventus , Napoli and Udinese , drew with ''struggling Roma''.

Well , that give games winning streak shouldn't fool us. Inter played against mediocre sides.

But I still think positive about Inter , they are still much better from the team at the beginning of Serie A.

Inter (probable ) 4-4-2 : Julio Cesar; Maicon, Lucio, Samuel, Nagatomo; Zanetti, Thiago Motta, Cambiasso, Alvarez; Milito, Pazzini

if Ranieri wants to start with Sneijder , he will need to change formation back to 4-3-1-2.

Inter have no fast legs on the midfield anymore. Zanetti , Cambiasso are old and aren't same players from Mourinho era. The same for Inter defense. Maicon is not the same World Class RB guy , Lucio - Samuel are not rock solid. LB Nagatomo is the weakest part of the Inter's defense. He's often making cruicial mistakes.

Milan have best offense of the Serie A (37 goals scored) and I can't see Inter defense to stop Milan's offensive fire-power. Especially when Zlatan is in red-hot form who had scored 7 goals at his last 6 games.

He will have support of Boateng and Robinho and even Pato (if he gets his chance , I am expecting Pato to find a goal)

Milito and Pazzini are in good form but they have played against average defenses. Abate - Nesta - Silva - Zambrotta still too solid and in front of them Mark Van Bommel.

If Inter didn't have a five games winning streak offer for -0.5 probably would have been @1.85.

Inter will play to get all 3 points. They've gained a lot of confidence with previous games but that might be dangerous against such team as AC Milan.

Milan are playing with same formation since last season (Actually Milan always played 4-3-1-2 even with Ancelott, Leonardo)

Inter have changed four coaches since last season and always changed formation. Now Ranieri switched to 4-4-2 , that's a disadvantage.

Milan are clear favourites of The Derby della Madonnina and should get all three points with their great offensive power.

Fair line is -0.5 here.

Predicted score : 3-1

AC Milan -0.25 @1.89 Sbobet

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